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	<title>Ramble &#187; Energy</title>
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	<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog</link>
	<description>Where the Future Never Looks the Same Way Twice</description>
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		<title>Climate Scientists are Scared</title>
		<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/10/climate-scientists-are-scared/</link>
		<comments>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/10/climate-scientists-are-scared/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Dec 2007 03:56:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tolton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Al Gore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/11/climate-scientists-are-scared/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This Salon article is pretty scary. From the article: How dire is the climate situation? Consider what Rajendra Pachauri, the head of the United Nations&#8217; prestigious Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), said last month: &#8220;If there&#8217;s no action before 2012, that&#8217;s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This Salon <a href="http://salon.com/news/feature/2007/12/12/ipcc_report/">article</a> is pretty scary.</p>

<p>From the article:</p>

<blockquote>
  <p>How dire is the climate situation? Consider what Rajendra Pachauri, the
  head of the United Nations&#8217; prestigious Intergovernmental Panel on
  Climate Change (IPCC), said last month: &#8220;If there&#8217;s no action before
  2012, that&#8217;s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will
  determine our future. This is the defining moment.&#8221; Pachauri has the
  distinction, or misfortune, of being both an engineer and an economist,
  two professions not known for overheated rhetoric.</p>
  
  <p>In fact, far from being an alarmist, Pachauri was specifically chosen
  as IPCC chair in 2002 after the Bush administration waged a successful
  campaign to have him replace the outspoken Dr. Robert Watson, who was
  opposed by fossil fuel companies like ExxonMobil. So why is a normally
  low-key scientist getting more desperate in his efforts to spur the
  planet to action?</p>
  
  <p>Part of the answer is the most recent IPCC assessment report. For the
  first time in six years, more than 2,000 of the world&#8217;s top scientists
  reviewed and synthesized all of the scientific knowledge about global
  warming. The Fourth Assessment Report makes clear that the accelerating
  emissions of human-generated heat-trapping gases has brought the planet
  close to crossing a threshold that will lead to irreversible
  catastrophe. Yet like Cassandra&#8217;s warning about the Trojan horse, the
  IPCC report has fallen on deaf ears, especially those of conservative
  politicians, even as its findings are the most grave to date.</p>
</blockquote>

<p><span id="more-128"></span></p>

<p>The article goes on to describe the scary realities we will face if
action isn&#8217;t taken in the next few years to drastically reduce our
emissions.</p>

<p>I don&#8217;t think many people, Americans especially, really understand the
level of climate chaos we are facing and the drastic changes in
lifestyle that will be <strong>required</strong> just for the survival of our own
civilization, let alone the survival of the thousands of other species
sharing space with us on this planet.  The changes only get more
drastic the longer we wait to address the problem.</p>

<p>What these reports don&#8217;t often consider, though, are the consequences
of the fossil fuel depletion that we may now be witnessing. Today,
there is practically no political will in Washington to do anything
serious about climate change. The IPCC says we need to make drastic
emission cuts before 2012. 2011-2012 is also the date range that many
peak oil models are converging on. So, after that time (if not sooner),
our available fossil fuel supplies will only decrease, year after year.
at least for oil. Unfortunately, if the status quo continues, not only
will we have passed the point of no return on climate change by then,
but if we are short on oil, we&#8217;ll have to resort to massive increases
in the use of coal to keep civilization running. That would basically
guarantee that the planet is uninhabitable by the end of the century.</p>

<p>I get that politicians don&#8217;t want to talk about sacrifice or
significant lifestyle changes. I understand that people don&#8217;t like
hearing that they may need to give up the &#8220;American&#8221; lifestyle in many
significant ways. But, the sacrifices that will have to be made in 2012
will be orders of magnitude worse than those we make now, which are
already orders of magnitude worse than the sacrifices we would have had
to make if we paid attention decades ago.</p>

<p>I have grown up hearing stories about the so-called, &#8220;Greatest
Generation&#8221;, while people all around me and in the media constantly
bemoaned the supposed apathy of the current younger generations. Well,
the climate/energy crisis is our generation&#8217;s great challenge. Again,
we sit at a precipitous moment in history. As Al Gore elegantly put it
in his Nobel acceptance <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/gore-nobel-speech" title="Gore Nobel Speech">speech</a>:</p>

<blockquote>
  <p>The future is knocking at our door right now. Make no mistake, the next
  generation will ask us one of two questions. Either they will ask:
  “What were you thinking; why didn’t you act?”</p>
  
  <p>Or they will ask instead: “How did you find the moral courage to rise
  and successfully resolve a crisis that so many said was impossible to
  solve?”</p>
  
  <p>We have everything we need to get started, save perhaps political will,
  but political will is a renewable resource.</p>
  
  <p>So let us renew it, and say together: “We have a purpose. We are many.
  For this purpose we will rise, and we will act.”</p>
</blockquote>

<p>The time for debate is over.  The time for action is now.  I implore
you to join <a href="http://www.1sky.org">1Sky</a> or another climate action
group and become part of, if not the solution, than the best chance
we have.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Supply and Demand, Not Price Gouging</title>
		<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/05/23/supply-and-demand-not-price-gouging/</link>
		<comments>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/05/23/supply-and-demand-not-price-gouging/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 May 2007 14:21:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tolton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rant]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/05/23/supply-and-demand-not-price-gouging/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I am getting annoyed with the rising chorus of pundits and ignorant politicians decrying the current high gasoline prices as &#8220;price gouging.&#8221;  Even MoveOn.org has jumped on the bandwagon.  Just read Robert Rapier&#8217;s entry on the Senate Hearing on Gas Prices to get a feel for how clueless or deliberately showboating our Senators are being. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am getting annoyed with the rising chorus of pundits and ignorant politicians decrying the current high gasoline prices as &#8220;price gouging.&#8221;  Even MoveOn.org has jumped on the bandwagon.  Just read Robert Rapier&#8217;s <a href="http://i-r-squared.blogspot.com/2007/05/comments-on-senate-hearing-on-gas.html">entry</a> on the Senate Hearing on Gas Prices to get a feel for how clueless or deliberately showboating our Senators are being.</p>

<p>Okay, listen carefully, people.  Here are two scenarios for you.  One, is that the big bad oil companies are gouging the public of their hard-earned dollars and that they seem to cursorily engage in this behavior every year around the beginning of summer driving season.  Or, two, incredibly high demand for gasoline, plus refinery problems due to maintenance issues has led to the natural condition of increasing gasoline prices as the market attempts to reach equilibrium.  Now, which is more likely?</p>

<p>The issue of gasoline prices is more complex than my remarks above, but the primary mover of gas prices right now is demand.  It is finally going down, but one only has to look at the weekly gasoline inventory numbers (published each Wednesday) to see that there has been a huge draw-down of gasoline inventories, setting us up for a rough summer driving season and even potential shortages if demand doesn&#8217;t drop a great deal.  But, that&#8217;s not likely, so we&#8217;ll at least have high gas prices until the high demand season ends.  This is basic economics and the fact that so many individuals and organizations and even U.S. Senators are ignorant of this and willfully seem to be ignoring the many experts who keep explaining the situation over and over again is really disconcerting.</p>

<p>I&#8217;ve started reading Al Gore&#8217;s new book, The Assault on Reason, and I think the current &#8220;discussion&#8221; on gas prices is a prime example of how rational, reasoned debate based on the best available factual information has been replaced by appeals to ideology and a short-sighted focus on political expediency.</p>
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