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	<title>Ramble &#187; Global Warming</title>
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	<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog</link>
	<description>Where the Future Never Looks the Same Way Twice</description>
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		<title>Step Up, Without The Moralizing, Please</title>
		<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2008/03/03/step-up-without-the-moralizing-please/</link>
		<comments>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2008/03/03/step-up-without-the-moralizing-please/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Mar 2008 04:46:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tolton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peak Oil]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2008/03/03/step-up-without-the-moralizing-please/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I didn&#8217;t have the same reaction as Lou, of The Cost of Energy blog, did upon reading this article by Bill McKibben. In fact, I got a bit annoyed by it. It&#8217;s not that I disagree with the immensity of the problem or even some of the suggestions for tackling it. It&#8217;s that McKibben comes [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I didn&#8217;t have the same <a href="http://www.grinzo.com/energy/?p=643">reaction</a> as Lou, of <a href="http://www.grinzo.com/energy/">The Cost of Energy</a> blog, did upon reading <a href="http://www.yesmagazine.org/article.asp?id=2271">this article</a> by Bill McKibben.  In fact, I got a bit annoyed by it.
It&#8217;s not that I disagree with the immensity of the problem or even some of the suggestions for tackling it.  It&#8217;s that McKibben comes off as a bit self-righteous to me.</p>

<p><span id="more-151"></span></p>

<p>I also don&#8217;t get some of his points.  It is okay to buy an energy efficient washer, but not a &#8220;flat screen&#8221; TV, which, despite what he thinks, can use a lot less energy than an old fashioned CRT model.  But, it&#8217;s not okay to buy a dryer, because &#8220;that&#8217;s the sun&#8217;s job.&#8221;  These are very arbitrary and subjective choices.</p>

<p>And, what does he exactly mean by &#8220;community?&#8221;  I constantly see &#8220;community&#8221; put up as some panacea to our GW and peak oil problems.  But, here, it is not well defined.  McKibben puts up public transit, farmer&#8217;s markets, and &#8220;co-housing&#8221; as examples of what this &#8220;community&#8221; will allow us to do.  But, I already do all three within the confines of an &#8220;advanced consumer society&#8221; that apparently makes these things difficult.  It is all so hand-wavy.</p>

<p>Real solutions require adapting current systems as best we can in an attempt to increase efficiency and mitigate against the unknown effects of GW and PO on the vital services provided by society such as food, shelter, water, sanitation, etc.  For example, farmer&#8217;s markets are great, but they aren&#8217;t perfect.  Some food can&#8217;t be grown locally and even if it could, it could still be more energy efficient to grow it elsewhere and ship it in.  And, frankly, we&#8217;ll all starve if we are forced to just eat what can be grown locally.  Why not work to increase farmer&#8217;s markets, but also adapt existing grocery stores to provide more local foods and work on reducing the energy requirements of their supply chains?  And, your cause isn&#8217;t helped by implying that if you aren&#8217;t eating from farmer&#8217;s markets, then you somehow aren&#8217;t eating &#8220;real food&#8221; and don&#8217;t know what it tastes like.  That&#8217;s just insulting and stupid.  In the real world, people buy from both places and if done right, the food from a grocery store is just as real and tasty as stuff from a farmer&#8217;s market.</p>

<p>The near term mitigation strategy, as McKibben points out, is conservation of energy.  But, the specific ways we accomplish conservation depend on specific circumstances.  It just really irritates me when articles like this one obscure that point by making broad over generalizations and get hung up on moralizing about how we &#8220;should&#8221; or &#8220;must&#8221; change the way we live our lives.  Yes, we must change, we are changing, and <i>suggestions</i> for how are welcome, but stop telling me what I <b>must</b> do.  I&#8217;ll decide what is most appropriate for my situation and together we&#8217;ll decide what is best for our communities, towns, schools, businesses, etc.  This dictatorship of environmental dogma that I sometimes see is counterproductive.  There isn&#8217;t One True Way to tackle GW and Peak Oil, there many that are highly dependent on specific, local circumstances.</p>

<p>Ultimately, though, if you get beyond the annoying self-righteous tone and the unrealistic, perhaps naive, portrait of global activism saving the day, there are some good take-home points:</p>

<ol>
<li><p><strong>Conserve, conserve, conserve!</strong>  However you can, wherever you can.  Not only does this help in mitigating global warming and peak oil consequences, it can save you money.  And, who doesn&#8217;t need to save money in a recession?  <img src='http://www.alterzone.net/blog/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p></li>
<li><p><strong>Think about the consequences of your actions, both large and small. </strong> Consume smartly when you have to consume at all.  Buy the energy efficient devices when you need to replace what you have and after you have exhausted the possibility of acquiring used.  Understand where your food comes from, where your electricity comes from, your gasoline, etc.  How does your pattern of consumption fit into the overall big picture?</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Be politically active.</strong>  Change won&#8217;t happen without world governments getting on board and that probably won&#8217;t happen without a strong grassroots movement pushing for it.</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Spread the word.</strong>  Tackling this problem requires efforts by everyone and every entity in society, from individuals to governments.  I still find today that far too many people who are otherwise educated don&#8217;t understand the severity of the issue, but will listen intently to someone who is willing to explain it to them without moralizing about it.</p></li>
</ol>
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		<title>Too Late to Stop Climate Change?</title>
		<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/12/too-late-to-stop-climate-change/</link>
		<comments>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/12/too-late-to-stop-climate-change/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Dec 2007 13:53:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tolton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/12/too-late-to-stop-climate-change/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This guest essay on Grist by Ross Gelbspan discusses an important issue that doesn&#8217;t seem to have yet broken into the mainstream discussion on climate change. What if it is already too late? From the article: As the pace of global warming kicks into overdrive, the hollow optimism of climate activists, along with the desperate [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This guest <a href="http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/12/10/165845/92/?source=daily" title="Beyond the point of no return">essay</a> on <a href="http://www.grist.org" title="Grist">Grist</a> by <a href="http://www.heatisonline.org" title="The Heat Is Online">Ross Gelbspan</a> discusses an
important issue that doesn&#8217;t seem to have yet broken into the
mainstream discussion on climate change.  What if it is already too
late?</p>

<p>From the article:</p>

<blockquote>
  <p>As the pace of global warming kicks into overdrive, the hollow optimism
  of climate activists, along with the desperate responses of some of
  the world&#8217;s most prominent climate scientists, is preventing us from
  focusing on the survival requirements of the human enterprise.</p>
  
  <p>The environmental establishment continues to peddle the notion that we
  can solve the climate problem.</p>
  
  <p>We can&#8217;t.</p>
  
  <p>We have failed to meet nature&#8217;s deadline. In the next few years, this
  world will experience progressively more ominous and destabilizing
  changes. These will happen either incrementally &#8212; or in sudden, abrupt
  jumps.</p>
  
  <p>Under either scenario, it seems inevitable that we will soon be
  confronted by water shortages, crop failures, increasing damages from
  extreme weather events, collapsing infrastructures, and, potentially,
  breakdowns in the democratic process itself.</p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Al Gore&#8217;s Nobel Prize Acceptance Speech</title>
		<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/11/al-gores-nobel-prize-acceptance-speech/</link>
		<comments>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/11/al-gores-nobel-prize-acceptance-speech/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Dec 2007 16:50:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tolton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Al Gore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/11/al-gores-nobel-prize-acceptance-speech/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Al Gore&#8217;s speech is both a sober warning and an inspiring call to action. I hope people pay attention to his message.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Al Gore&#8217;s <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/gore-nobel-speech">speech</a> is both a sober warning and an inspiring call
to action. I hope people pay attention to his message.</p>

<div align="center">
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type="application/x-shockwave-flash"
src="http://video.google.com/googleplayer.swf?docId=4690930823859519656&#038;hl=en"
flashvars=""></embed>
</div>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>U.S. Head Still Stuck in Sand, Will Stay There Until 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/10/us-head-still-stuck-in-sand-will-stay-there-until-2009/</link>
		<comments>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/10/us-head-still-stuck-in-sand-will-stay-there-until-2009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Dec 2007 07:28:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tolton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peak Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/11/us-head-still-stuck-in-sand-will-stay-there-until-2009/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This latest Bali update from the NYT DotEarth Blog reminds me once again just how frustrating and demoralizing this last decade has been for those of us concerned about global climate change. From the article: The document (with a title printed in a pale gray suitable for something nonexistent) was intended as a template for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This latest Bali <a href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/12/11/bali-update-non-paper-a-nonstarter-for-us/">update</a> from the NYT <a href="http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com">DotEarth Blog</a>
reminds me once again just how frustrating and demoralizing this last
decade has been for those of us concerned about global climate change.</p>

<p><span id="more-125"></span></p>

<p>From the article:</p>

<blockquote>
  <p>The document (with a title printed in a pale gray suitable for
  something nonexistent) was intended as a template for what the United
  Nations hopes will, by Friday night, be a two-year road map for talks
  leading to a meaningful update to the faltering 1992 climate treaty,
  the Framework Convention on Climate Change.</p>
  
  <p>But late Tuesday, Bali time, the United States bluntly refused to
  consider language — even in the non-binding preamble — that included any
  specific numbers for how much overall emissions from wealthy countries
  would need to be cut to have a chance of avoiding the worst climate
  dangers.</p>
</blockquote>

<p>For over seven years now, the United States has actively undermined
any chance for our civilization to collectively respond to the dire
threats posed by global warming.  And, despite soothing words from
the administration about how they take climate change seriously,
their actions demonstrate that they still have not joined the rest
of us in the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2004/10/17/magazine/17BUSH.html">&#8220;reality-based community&#8221;</a>.</p>

<p>I know my family and friends are getting tired of me saying this,
but we are facing multiple, simultaneous, deadly threats to our
civilization and species.  If global emissions are not brought down
quickly and drastically, global warming will continue to accelerate
with potentially <a href="http://www.climatecrisis.net/thescience/">catastrophic consequences</a>.</p>

<p>At the same time, we are facing the imminent <a href="http://energybulletin.net/primer.php">peaking</a> of world
oil and natural gas production. But, as these fossil fuels dwindle, the
only readily available, relatively abundant substitute will be coal.
But, burning coal is a primary cause of global warming and we would
only make it worse by going that route. And, I haven&#8217;t even mentioned
the financial collapse that seems to be occurring in the U.S. right now
which might undercut our ability to raise capital and make it nearly
impossible to marshall the resources necessary to deal with these
problems.</p>

<p>My point is that our problems are tremendous. It may even be too late
to fix them or even substantially mitigate their consequences thanks to
all the time we have wasted for decades, but especially during this
last decade. However, it is worth trying to avoid catastrophe and the
rest of the world seems to be forming a unified front to tackle these
issues, while the U.S. steadfastly refuses to cooperate.</p>

<p>It looks like we don&#8217;t have any chance of seeing a change in U.S.
policy until the next administration comes into office.  I&#8217;m very
worried that by the time our national priorities change, it will
be too little, too late.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Climate Scientists are Scared</title>
		<link>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/10/climate-scientists-are-scared/</link>
		<comments>http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/10/climate-scientists-are-scared/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Dec 2007 03:56:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stephen Tolton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Al Gore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.alterzone.net/blog/2007/12/11/climate-scientists-are-scared/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This Salon article is pretty scary. From the article: How dire is the climate situation? Consider what Rajendra Pachauri, the head of the United Nations&#8217; prestigious Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), said last month: &#8220;If there&#8217;s no action before 2012, that&#8217;s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This Salon <a href="http://salon.com/news/feature/2007/12/12/ipcc_report/">article</a> is pretty scary.</p>

<p>From the article:</p>

<blockquote>
  <p>How dire is the climate situation? Consider what Rajendra Pachauri, the
  head of the United Nations&#8217; prestigious Intergovernmental Panel on
  Climate Change (IPCC), said last month: &#8220;If there&#8217;s no action before
  2012, that&#8217;s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will
  determine our future. This is the defining moment.&#8221; Pachauri has the
  distinction, or misfortune, of being both an engineer and an economist,
  two professions not known for overheated rhetoric.</p>
  
  <p>In fact, far from being an alarmist, Pachauri was specifically chosen
  as IPCC chair in 2002 after the Bush administration waged a successful
  campaign to have him replace the outspoken Dr. Robert Watson, who was
  opposed by fossil fuel companies like ExxonMobil. So why is a normally
  low-key scientist getting more desperate in his efforts to spur the
  planet to action?</p>
  
  <p>Part of the answer is the most recent IPCC assessment report. For the
  first time in six years, more than 2,000 of the world&#8217;s top scientists
  reviewed and synthesized all of the scientific knowledge about global
  warming. The Fourth Assessment Report makes clear that the accelerating
  emissions of human-generated heat-trapping gases has brought the planet
  close to crossing a threshold that will lead to irreversible
  catastrophe. Yet like Cassandra&#8217;s warning about the Trojan horse, the
  IPCC report has fallen on deaf ears, especially those of conservative
  politicians, even as its findings are the most grave to date.</p>
</blockquote>

<p><span id="more-128"></span></p>

<p>The article goes on to describe the scary realities we will face if
action isn&#8217;t taken in the next few years to drastically reduce our
emissions.</p>

<p>I don&#8217;t think many people, Americans especially, really understand the
level of climate chaos we are facing and the drastic changes in
lifestyle that will be <strong>required</strong> just for the survival of our own
civilization, let alone the survival of the thousands of other species
sharing space with us on this planet.  The changes only get more
drastic the longer we wait to address the problem.</p>

<p>What these reports don&#8217;t often consider, though, are the consequences
of the fossil fuel depletion that we may now be witnessing. Today,
there is practically no political will in Washington to do anything
serious about climate change. The IPCC says we need to make drastic
emission cuts before 2012. 2011-2012 is also the date range that many
peak oil models are converging on. So, after that time (if not sooner),
our available fossil fuel supplies will only decrease, year after year.
at least for oil. Unfortunately, if the status quo continues, not only
will we have passed the point of no return on climate change by then,
but if we are short on oil, we&#8217;ll have to resort to massive increases
in the use of coal to keep civilization running. That would basically
guarantee that the planet is uninhabitable by the end of the century.</p>

<p>I get that politicians don&#8217;t want to talk about sacrifice or
significant lifestyle changes. I understand that people don&#8217;t like
hearing that they may need to give up the &#8220;American&#8221; lifestyle in many
significant ways. But, the sacrifices that will have to be made in 2012
will be orders of magnitude worse than those we make now, which are
already orders of magnitude worse than the sacrifices we would have had
to make if we paid attention decades ago.</p>

<p>I have grown up hearing stories about the so-called, &#8220;Greatest
Generation&#8221;, while people all around me and in the media constantly
bemoaned the supposed apathy of the current younger generations. Well,
the climate/energy crisis is our generation&#8217;s great challenge. Again,
we sit at a precipitous moment in history. As Al Gore elegantly put it
in his Nobel acceptance <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/gore-nobel-speech" title="Gore Nobel Speech">speech</a>:</p>

<blockquote>
  <p>The future is knocking at our door right now. Make no mistake, the next
  generation will ask us one of two questions. Either they will ask:
  “What were you thinking; why didn’t you act?”</p>
  
  <p>Or they will ask instead: “How did you find the moral courage to rise
  and successfully resolve a crisis that so many said was impossible to
  solve?”</p>
  
  <p>We have everything we need to get started, save perhaps political will,
  but political will is a renewable resource.</p>
  
  <p>So let us renew it, and say together: “We have a purpose. We are many.
  For this purpose we will rise, and we will act.”</p>
</blockquote>

<p>The time for debate is over.  The time for action is now.  I implore
you to join <a href="http://www.1sky.org">1Sky</a> or another climate action
group and become part of, if not the solution, than the best chance
we have.</p>
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